accuracy of USDA"s export forecasts
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accuracy of USDA"s export forecasts by MacDonald, Stephen.

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Published by U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Commodity Economics Division in Washington, DC .
Written in English


  • Agricultural prices -- Forecasting -- United States.,
  • Export marketing -- United States.,
  • Commodity exchanges -- United States.,
  • Farm produce -- Marketing -- United States.

Book details:

Edition Notes

StatementStephen MacDonald.
SeriesStaff report -- no. AGES 9224., ERS staff report -- no. AGES 9224.
ContributionsUnited States. Dept. of Agriculture., United States. Dept. of Agriculture. Commodity Economics Division.
The Physical Object
Paginationiv, 46 p. :
Number of Pages46
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL16946864M

Download accuracy of USDA"s export forecasts


FAS provides summaries of the latest USDA quarterly forecasts for U.S. trade in agricultural products and a link to the joint FAS/ERS publication Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade.. The agricultural export forecast is updated February, May, August and December. The Accuracy of USDA's Export Forecasts USDA's quarterly forecasts of fiscal year agricultural exports by commodity and region were examined for their reliability in predicting annual changes during Most of the forecasts were strongly correlated with actual exports. Most obvious exceptions probably stemmed from rounding : Stephen MacDonald. Commodity Estimates Book and Reports Commodity Estimates Book The Commodity Estimates Book contains both actual and estimated years of budgetary data by program and account for CCC. These tables contain a time series of annual and monthly data for U.S. farm acreage, production, prices, trade, per capita use, and more. Eventually, all data currently contained in the Vegetables and Pulses Yearbook tables will be encompassed in the Data by Category and Data by Commodity series.

This paper aims to assess the accuracy of alternative price forecasts for 15 primary commodities over the past decade. In view of the difficulties in accurately forecasting future price movements, the assessment of forecast performance has to be a relative one—measured by how certain types of forecasts perform in relation to Size: KB. Agricultural Baseline. USDA-projected longrun developments for global agriculture reflect steady world economic growth and continued demand for biofuels, which combine to support increases in consumption, trade, and prices. Forecasts and estimates of farm sector income with component accounts: for the United States, F; and for. Friday, BROILER MARKET NEWS REPORT ISSN Vol. 67 No. 19 U.S. Department of Agriculture Agricultural Marketing Service Livestock, Poultry & Grain Market News USDA AMS Livestock, Poultry & Grain Market News 1 GA () IA ()File Size: KB. The next U.S. Export Sales Report will be released on Friday, Octo NOTICE TO USERS: The new marketing year for soybean cake & meal, soybean oil, sunflowerseed oil, cottonseed cake & meal, and cottonseed oil began October 1, Outstanding / sales of these commodities will be carried forward by reporting exporters for.

The USDA Forecast of Contracting Opportunities is now available. Agricultural Marketing Service FY Procurement Forecast. Agricultural Research Service FY Procurement Forecast. Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service FY Procurement Forecast. Departmental Administration FY Procurement Forecast. New Trade Patterns May Make Normal Export Forecast Methods Less Accurate Date: Mon, 11/05/ Broadcast: 03 Remark: Comparing the pace of U.S. agricultural exports with last season's pace may not be as reliable a way of forecasting exports than it was a year ago. Canadian goods exports are forecast to slow sharply after ’s healthy performance with a 3% expansion in both and This year, strong contributions from aerospace, energy and fertilizers will be offset by declines in forestry and metals. USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service Information. NASS publications cover a wide range of subjects, from traditional crops, such as corn and wheat, to specialties, such as mushrooms and flowers; from calves born to hogs slaughtered; from agricultural prices to land in farms. The agency has the distinction of being known as The Fact Finders of U.S. Agriculture due to the abundance of.